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Xiangjun and Mercedes have published a prediction for the incidence of Infleunza inthe US for the 2017-2018 Influenza Season. The prediction is now published in PLoS Current Outbreaks.

Using methodology developed in their recent paper in Science Advances, their model indicates an above-average, moderately severe, outbreak dominated by the H3N2 subtype. This prediction is consistent with surveillance data so far, which already indicate the predominance of H3N2.