Center for Science of Science and Innovation
Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University
2211 Campus Drive
Evanston, IL 60208
Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University Evanston, IL
Postdoctoral Scholar, Center for Science of Science and Innovation March 2021 – Present
The University of Chicago Chicago, IL
Doctor of Philosophy in Behavioral Science March 2021
- Research interests: Causal reasoning, responsibility attribution, social networks
- Dissertation area: Behavioral Science (support area: Organizations and Markets)
- Dissertation: “Collective response to scarcity: How the resource environment shapes social networks.”
- Advisors: Reid Hastie (Chair), Richard Thaler, Ronald S. Burt, Emir Kamenica, John Levi Martin, Michael Gibbs
Master of Science in Computer Science December 2016
- Focus: Software engineering
Master of Business Administration December 2012
- Concentrations: Organizational behavior, strategic management, economics, entrepreneurship
- Honors & awards: Dean’s Award of Distinction (2012)
Stanford University – Center for Professional Development Palo Alto, CA
Stanford Certified Project Manager (SCPM) November 2009
Bowdoin College Brunswick, ME
Bachelor of Arts May 2007
- Majors: Government, Romance Languages (French & Spanish)
- Minor: Asian Studies (East Asia)
WORKS IN PROGRESS
Rao, Kariyushi, and Hastie, Reid. (In Preparation). Predicting Outcomes in a Sequence of Binary Events: Belief Updating and Gambler’s Fallacy Reasoning.
Links: [Manuscript] [Supplement]
Description: Previous investigations of the hot hand and the gambler’s fallacies conflated qualitative descriptions of an outcome-generating process with beliefs about the base rate at which that process produces different outcomes. The present research distinguishes between beliefs about the causal generator versus beliefs about the base rate. In six behavioral studies, we manipulate participants’ beliefs about the base rate of three processes: a random mechanical device, an intentional agent, and a market. We find that hot hand patterns arise when the base rate is uncertain, while gambler’s fallacy patterns only appear when people hold strong prior beliefs about the base rate.
Rao, Kariyushi. (In Progress). Collective Response to Scarcity: How the Resource Environment Shapes Social Networks.
Description: I explore differences in the structure of social (communication) networks that emerge within experimental groups of human research participants reacting to changes in their resource environment. My goal is to identify the effect of changes in the resource environment on person-level preferences for communication partners. My overarching hypothesis is that when resources become increasingly scarce in the environment, people prefer fewer communication partners, and increase their rate of communication with each partner. Conversely, when resources become increasingly abundant, people prefer more communication partners, and their rate of communication with each partner decreases. At the group-level, social networks will shrink in size and become more densely connected in response to resource scarcity. In response to resource abundance, social networks will expand in size and become more sparsely connected. If my hypothesized results are obtained, the present research will be the first controlled studies to demonstrate that environmental scarcity/abundance causes structure to emerge in social networks.
Rao, Kariyushi, Gerstenberg, Tobias, and Hastie, Reid. (In Preparation). The Surprise Effect: Attribution of Responsibility When Performance Violates Expectations.
Description: We investigate the way knowledge of past performance affects attribution of blame or credit for positive and negative outcomes in both individual and group contexts. Our results indicate a “surprise effect” drives attributions following negative, but not positive, outcomes. In the case of a loss, people assign more blame to high performers than to low performers. In the case of a win, people assign the same amount of credit to both high and low performers. We have confirmed this “surprise effect” persists when targets are judged individually, when they are compared to a counterpart against whom they are competing, and when they are compared to a teammate with whom they share a common goal.
Rao, Kariyushi. (In Preparation). Theory-of-Mind Reasoning in P-Beauty Contests: How Knowledge of Counterparts’ Experience and Expertise Matters.
Description: I investigate how knowledge of counterparts’ experience, intelligence, and expertise affects players’ strategies in multiplayer p-beauty contests (Nagel, 1995) . Previous work has shown that players demonstrate higher levels of reasoning when led to believe counterparts in a p-beauty-style game have high intelligence, experience playing the game, and expertise relevant to the game (Agranov et al. 2012; Alaoui & Penta 2015). Through an online conceptual replication of Agranov and colleagues’ (2012) offline experimental procedure, I seek to disentangle the effects of beliefs about counterparts’ intelligence, expertise, and experience on players’ in-game strategies. Players led to believe counterparts were computers selecting random numbers used different in-game strategies than players given no information about their counterparts. However, I do not find that players demonstrate higher levels of reasoning when led to believe their counterparts have higher-than-average intelligence, direct experience, relevant expertise, or all three of these qualities. Generalizability from participants’ behaviors in offline p-beauty-style games to participants’ behaviors in an online environment are discussed.
Rao, Kariyushi. (In Progress). The Impact of ‘Open’ Workspace on Employees’ Social Networks.
Description: I investigate the effect of an “open” floorplan on employees’ self-reported friendship and advice networks in one regional office of a global manufacturing firm. Employees are surveyed both before and after moving from an office with a “closed” floorplan with restricted traffic flows and no central social hub to an office with an “open” floorplan with unrestricted traffic flows and a central social hub. Pre- and post-move network structures are compared across several key variables related to knowledge sharing and productivity. Employees’ self-reported brokerage behaviors and satisfaction with work relationships are also compared, and the role of these individual differences as moderators of the floorplan effect on social networks is tested.
AWARDS & GRANTS
Co-PI, “DOCTORAL DISSERTATION RESEARCH IN DRMS Collective Response to Scarcity: How the Resource Environment Shapes Social Networks”, National Science Foundation (NSF) Award #2018173, $39,191, 08/2020 – 07/2021.
PI, “Theory-of-Mind Reasoning in P-Beauty Contests: How Knowledge of Counterparts’ Experience and Expertise Matters,” Center for Decision Research, The University of Chicago Booth School of Business, $3,000. Winter 2018.
PRESENTATIONS & INVITED TALKS
“Predicting outcomes in a sequence of binary events: A belief-updating account of hot hand and gamblers fallacy judgment patterns,” The Society for Judgment and Decision Making Conference. Montréal, QC, Canada. November 2019.
“Women at Work: Challenges and Opportunities,” Power of Women Inaugural Meeting,
AllianceBernstein. Chicago, IL. June 2018.
The University of Chicago Booth School of Business Chicago, IL
Graduate Research Assistant May 2016 – Present
- Reid Hastie, Ralph and Dorothy Keller Distinguished Service Professor of Behavioral Science
- Emir Kamenica, Richard O. Ryan Professor of Economics, Neubauer Family Faculty Fellow
- Richard Thaler, Charles R. Walgreen Distinguished Service Professor of Behavioral Science and Economics
- Bernd Wittenbrink, Robert S. Hamada Professor of Behavioral Science
TEACHING & LEADERSHIP
- Teaching Assistant, The Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University, Full-Time MBA Program (Autumn 2020): Social Dynamics and Network Analysis
- Teaching Assistant, The Booth School of Business, Full-Time, Part-Time, and Executive MBA Programs (Winter 2014 – Present): Strategies and Processes of Negotiation, Managerial Decision Making, Organizations & Incentives, Strategic Leadership, Managing the Workplace, New Venture Strategy, Effective Management of Groups and Teams, Power & Influence in Organizations
- Member, PhD Program Student Advisory Committee, The Booth School of Business (2019-Present)
- Incoming PhD Student Mentor, The Booth School of Business (June 2017 – Present)
- Member, Dean’s Student Advisory Council, The University of Chicago Physical Sciences Division (October 2015 – September 2016)
- Statistical analysis languages and software: R, HLM, MMWS, Stata, SPSS
- Programming languages: Java, Python, SQL
- Human languages: Intermediate French (conversation, reading), intermediate Spanish (conversation, reading), native English
Independent Inventor. Methods, Systems and Media for Presenting Commerce Information Related to Video Content. October 15, 2015. U.S. Patent Number 20150296250. Europe Patent Number WO2015157714.
Google, Inc. Mountain View, CA (2007-08) / Chicago, IL (2008-2015)
The ZOO, Global Creative Services Team 2011 – 2015
- Account Director (January 2014 – April 2015): Developed and implemented large-scale, global advertising and marketing programs (min $2M investment) for Google’s top clients.
- Interactive Project Manager / Producer (October 2011 – February 2014): Led development and launch of large-scale advertising programs and custom mobile/web platforms (min $1.5M client investment).
Global Learning and Development 2013 – 2015
- (Volunteer) Global Program Manager: Managed global project management training program (100+ volunteer trainers, 120+ sessions a year), developed curriculum, and designed and delivered custom programs.
Affiliate Network 2008 – 2011
- Business Strategist (May 2010 – October 2011): Managed team of 10 offshore contractors. Streamlined key business processes, and developed actionable business intelligence tools.
- Publisher Support Associate (December 2008 – June 2010): Managed client-facing help center, authored technical articles, delivered reactive and proactive support to site-owners and merchants.
People Operations 2007 – 2008
- HR Business Partner Rotational Associate (May 2008 – December 2008): Led human resources analytics and staffing programs and projects. Led global overhaul of engineering job ladders.
- People Programs Rotational Associate (July 2007 – May 2008): Managed hiring process and advised senior executives on hiring decisions.