No Such Thing As a Crystal Ball

This is a quick aside due to all the geniuses trying to predict the French elections. If Brexit and Trump tells you anything : you can’t. I’m not sure whether Le Pen will win or not, that’s the point. The election is still a week or so away. The final debate hasn’t even happened yet. I’d even say at this point that trying to predict elections at all is a lost cause. Polling is an imperfect science. It is filled with sample and personal bias. All pollsters and “experts” are in their bubbles, and are trying to predict a foreign election anyway. Polls and projections are intended to influence elections, not predict them.

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