Research

Publications

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. Forthcoming. Do Shark Attacks Influence Presidential Elections? Journal of Politics. Replication Data. Reply to A&B.

Enos, Ryan D. and Anthony Fowler. Forthcoming. Aggregate Effects of Large-Scale Campaigns on Voter TurnoutPolitical Science Research and MethodsReplication Data.

Berry, Christopher R. and Anthony Fowler. 2018. Congressional Committees, Legislative Influence, and the Hegemony of ChairsJournal of Public Economics 158:1-11. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. 2018. A Bayesian Explanation for the Effect of IncumbencyElectoral Studies 53:66-78. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2017. Long Term Consequences of Election ResultsBritish Journal of Political Science 47(2):351-372. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. 2017. Does Voter Preregistration Increase Youth Participation? Election Law Journal 16(4):485-494.  Replication Data.

Enos, Ryan D., Anthony Fowler, and Christopher S. Havasy. 2017. The Negative Effect Fallacy: A Case Study of Incorrect Statistical Reasoning by Federal CourtsJournal of Empirical Legal Studies 14(3):618-647.

Fowler, Anthony. 2016. What Explains Incumbent Success? Disentangling Selection on Party, Selection on Candidate Characteristics, and Office-Holding Benefits. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 11(3):313-338. Replication Data.

Berry, Christopher R. and Anthony Fowler. 2016. Cardinals or Clerics? Congressional Committees and the Distribution of PorkAmerican Journal of Political Science 60(3):692-708. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2016. The Elusive Quest for ConvergenceQuarterly Journal of Political Science 11(1):131-149. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and B. Pablo Montagnes. 2015. College Football, Elections, and False-Positive Results in Observational ResearchProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112(45):13800-13804. Replication DataReply to HMM (part 1)Reply to HMM (part 2).

Eggers, Andrew C., Anthony Fowler, Jens HainmuellerAndrew B. HallJames M. Snyder, Jr. 2015. On the Validity of the Regression Discontinuity Design for Estimating Electoral Effects: New Evidence from Over 40,000 Close RacesAmerican Journal of Political Science 59(1):259-274. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. 2015. Regular Voters, Marginal Voters, and the Electoral Effects of TurnoutPolitical Science Research and Methods 3(2):205-219. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2015. Congressional Seniority and Pork: A Pig Fat Myth? European Journal of Political Economy 40:42-56. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2014. Disentangling the Personal and Partisan Incumbency Advantages: Evidence from Close Elections and Term LimitsQuarterly Journal of Political Science 9(4):501-531. Replication Data.

Enos, Ryan D., Anthony Fowler, and Lynn Vavreck. 2014. Increasing Inequality: The Effect of GOTV Mobilization on the Composition of the ElectorateJournal of Politics 76(1):273-288. Replication Data.

Atkinson, Matthew D. and Anthony Fowler.  2014. Social Capital and Voter Turnout: Evidence from Saint’s Day Fiestas in MexicoBritish Journal of Political Science 44(1):41-59. Replication Data.

Enos, Ryan D. and Anthony Fowler. 2014. Pivotality and Turnout: Evidence from a Field Experiment in the Aftermath of a Tied ElectionPolitical Science Research and Methods 2(2):309-319.  Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Michele Margolis. 2014. The Political Consequences of Uninformed VotersElectoral Studies 34:100-110. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. 2013. Electoral and Policy Consequences of Voter Turnout: Evidence from Compulsory Voting in AustraliaQuarterly Journal of Political Science 8(2):159-182.  Replication Data.

Dowling, Conor M.Ryan D. Enos, Anthony Fowler, and Costas Panagopoulos. 2012. Does Public Financing Chill Political Speech? Exploiting a Court Injunction as a Natural ExperimentElection Law Journal 11(3):302-315. Replication Data.

 

Working Papers and Papers Under Review

Fouirnaies, Alexander and Anthony Fowler. Do Campaign Contributions Buy Favorable Policies? Evidence from the Insurance Industry.

Fowler, Anthony. Partisan Intoxication or Policy Voting?

Fowler, Anthony. Correcting Point Estimates for Publication Bias.

Fowler, Anthony, Haritz Garro, and Jorg L. SpenkuchQuid Pro Quo? Corporate Returns to Campaign Contributions.

Berry, Christopher R. and Anthony Fowler. Leadership or Luck? Randomization Inference for Leader Effects (RIFLE).

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. HallConservative Vote Probabilities: An Easier Method for the Analysis of Roll Call Data.
CVP Estimates for the U.S. House, Congresses 1-113
CVP Estimates for the U.S. Senate, Congresses 1-113
Issue-specific CVP Estimates for the U.S. House, Congresses 83-111

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