Fowler, Anthony. 2024. Partisan Constituencies and Congressional PolarizationJournal of Political Institutions and Political Economy, forthcoming. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony, Seth J. Hill, Jeffrey B. Lewis, Chris Tausanovitch, Lynn Vavreck, and Christopher Warshaw. 2023. ModeratesAmerican Political Science Review 117(2):643-660. Replication Data.

Orr, Lilla V., Anthony Fowler, and Gregory A. Huber. 2023. Is Affective Polarization Driven by Identity, Loyalty, or Substance? American Journal of Political Science 67(4):948-962. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and B. Pablo Montagnes. 2023. Distinguishing between False Positives and Genuine Results: The Case of Irrelevant Events and ElectionsJournal of Politics 85(1):304-309. Replication Data. Reply to GHMM.

Fowler, Anthony and William G. Howell. 2023. Updating Amidst Disagreement: New Experimental Evidence on Partisan CuesPublic Opinion Quarterly 87(1):24-43. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Kisoo Kim. 2022. An Information-Based Explanation for Partisan Media SortingJournal of Theoretical Politics 34(4):499-526. Replication Data.

Fouirnaies, Alexander and Anthony Fowler. 2022. Do Campaign Contributions Buy Favorable Policies? Evidence from the Insurance IndustryPolitical Science Research and Methods 10(1):18-32. Replication Data.

Berry, Christopher R., Anthony Fowler, Tamara Glazer, Samantha Handel-Meyer, and Alec MacMillen. 2021. Evaluating the Effects of Shelter-in-Place Policies during the COVID-19 PandemicProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118(15):e2019706118. Replication Data.

Berry, Christopher R. and Anthony Fowler. 2021. Leadership or Luck? Randomization Inference for Leader Effects in Politics, Business, and SportsScience Advances 7:eabe3404. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony, Haritz Garro, and Jorg L. Spenkuch. 2020. Quid Pro Quo? Corporate Returns to Campaign ContributionsJournal of Politics 82(3):844-858. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. 2020. Partisan Intoxication or Policy Voting? Quarterly Journal of Political Science 15(2):141-179. Replication Data. Reply to Rogers.

Ashworth, Scott and Anthony Fowler. 2020. Electorates vs. VotersJournal of Political Institutions and Political Economy 1(3):477-505. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. 2020. Promises and Perils of Mobile VotingElection Law Journal 19(3):418-431. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2018. Do Shark Attacks Influence Presidential Elections? Reassessing a Prominent Finding on Voter CompetenceJournal of Politics 80(4):1423-1437. Replication Data. Reply to A&B.

Berry, Christopher R. and Anthony Fowler. 2018. Congressional Committees, Legislative Influence, and the Hegemony of ChairsJournal of Public Economics 158:1-11. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. 2018. A Bayesian Explanation for the Effect of IncumbencyElectoral Studies 53:66-78. Replication Data.

Enos, Ryan D. and Anthony Fowler. 2018. Aggregate Effects of Large-Scale Campaigns on Voter TurnoutPolitical Science Research and Methods 6(4):733-751. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2017. Long Term Consequences of Election ResultsBritish Journal of Political Science 47(2):351-372. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. 2017. Does Voter Preregistration Increase Youth Participation? Election Law Journal 16(4):485-494.  Replication Data.

Enos, Ryan D., Anthony Fowler, and Christopher S. Havasy. 2017. The Negative Effect Fallacy: A Case Study of Incorrect Statistical Reasoning by Federal CourtsJournal of Empirical Legal Studies 14(3):618-647.

Fowler, Anthony. 2016. What Explains Incumbent Success? Disentangling Selection on Party, Selection on Candidate Characteristics, and Office-Holding Benefits. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 11(3):313-338. Replication Data.

Berry, Christopher R. and Anthony Fowler. 2016. Cardinals or Clerics? Congressional Committees and the Distribution of PorkAmerican Journal of Political Science 60(3):692-708. CorrectionReplication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2016. The Elusive Quest for ConvergenceQuarterly Journal of Political Science 11(1):131-149. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and B. Pablo Montagnes. 2015. College Football, Elections, and False-Positive Results in Observational ResearchProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112(45):13800-13804. Replication DataReply to HMM (part 1)Reply to HMM (part 2).

Eggers, Andrew C., Anthony Fowler, Jens HainmuellerAndrew B. HallJames M. Snyder, Jr. 2015. On the Validity of the Regression Discontinuity Design for Estimating Electoral Effects: New Evidence from Over 40,000 Close RacesAmerican Journal of Political Science 59(1):259-274. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. 2015. Regular Voters, Marginal Voters, and the Electoral Effects of TurnoutPolitical Science Research and Methods 3(2):205-219. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2015. Congressional Seniority and Pork: A Pig Fat Myth? European Journal of Political Economy 40:42-56. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2014. Disentangling the Personal and Partisan Incumbency Advantages: Evidence from Close Elections and Term LimitsQuarterly Journal of Political Science 9(4):501-531. Replication Data.

Enos, Ryan D., Anthony Fowler, and Lynn Vavreck. 2014. Increasing Inequality: The Effect of GOTV Mobilization on the Composition of the ElectorateJournal of Politics 76(1):273-288. Replication Data.

Atkinson, Matthew D. and Anthony Fowler.  2014. Social Capital and Voter Turnout: Evidence from Saint’s Day Fiestas in MexicoBritish Journal of Political Science 44(1):41-59. Replication Data.

Enos, Ryan D. and Anthony Fowler. 2014. Pivotality and Turnout: Evidence from a Field Experiment in the Aftermath of a Tied ElectionPolitical Science Research and Methods 2(2):309-319.  Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Michele Margolis. 2014. The Political Consequences of Uninformed VotersElectoral Studies 34:100-110. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. 2013. Electoral and Policy Consequences of Voter Turnout: Evidence from Compulsory Voting in AustraliaQuarterly Journal of Political Science 8(2):159-182.  Replication Data.

Dowling, Conor M.Ryan D. Enos, Anthony Fowler, and Costas Panagopoulos. 2012. Does Public Financing Chill Political Speech? Exploiting a Court Injunction as a Natural ExperimentElection Law Journal 11(3):302-315. Replication Data.

Working Papers

Eggers, Andrew, Anthony Fowler, William Howell, and Molly Offer-Westort. Opportunities to Govern: How to Increase the Supply of Moderate and Competent Candidates.

Fowler, Anthony, Gregory A. Huber, Rongbo Jin, and Lilla V. Orr. Why Are You a Democrat? Studying the Origins of Party Identification and Partisan Animosity with Open-ended Survey Questions.

Fowler, Anthony and Shu Fu. Do Primary Elections Exacerbate Congressional Polarization?

Fowler, Anthony and Jeffrey B. Lewis. Protest Voting in the U.S. Congress.

Fowler, Anthony. Do Party Leaders Influence Roll-Call Voting in Congress?

Resting Papers

Fowler, Anthony. Correcting Point Estimates for Publication Bias.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. No Evidence of Personal Incumbency Disadvantage.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. HallConservative Vote Probabilities: An Easier Method for the Analysis of Roll Call Data.
CVP Estimates for the U.S. House and Senate, Congresses 1-118 (updated June 8, 2023)
Issue-specific CVP Estimates for the U.S. House, Congresses 83-111