Rebel Capacity, Intelligence Gathering, and Combat Tactics (with Austin L. Wright), American Journal of Political Science, forthcoming. [Non-technical BFI Research Brief]
The Historical Perspective on the Trump Puzzle: A Review of Barry Eichengreen’s “The Populist Temptation: Economic Grievance and Political Reaction in the Modern Era”, Journal of Economic Literature, forthcoming.
Information Operations Increase Civilian Security Cooperation (with Austin L. Wright), Economic Journal, 132 (643), 1179–1199, April 2022. [Non-technical BFI Research Brief]
Unmasking Partisanship: How Polarization Influences Public Responses to Collective Risk (with Maria Milosh, Marcus Painter, David van Dijcke, and Austin L. Wright), Journal of Public Economics, 204, 104538б December 2021.
Media Freedom in the Shadow of a Coup (with Raphael Boleslavsky and Mehdi Shadmehr), Journal of European Economic Association, 19 (3), 1782-1815, June 2021.
Elections in Non-Democracies (with Georgy Egorov), Economic Journal, 131 (636), 1682–1716, May 2021.
Institutional Change and Institutional Persistence (with Daron Acemoglu and Georgy Egorov), Handbook of Historical Economics (Bisin and Giovanni, eds.), 365-389, Academic Press, 2021.
Poverty and Economic Dislocation Reduce Compliance with COVID-19 Shelter-in-Place Protocols (with Austin L. Wright, Jesse Driscoll, and Jarnickae Wilson), Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 180, 544-554, December 2020. [Version with Online Appendix] [Non-technical BFI summary]
Social Mobility and Stability of Democracy: Re-evaluating de Tocqueville (with Daron Acemoglu and Georgy Egorov), Quarterly Journal of Economics, 133: 2, 1041–1105, May 2018. [Non-technical Kellogg Insight]
Winning by Losing: Incentive Incompatibility in Multiple Qualifiers (with Dmitry Dagaev), Journal of Sports Economics , 19(8), 1122-1146, 2018.
Economic Transition and the Rise of Alternative Institutions: Political Connections in Putin’s Russia (with Natalia Lamberova), Economics of Transition, 26(4), 615-648, 2018.
Political Economy of Redistribution (with Daniel Diermeier and Georgy Egorov), Econometrica, 85(3), 851–870, May 2017.
Formal Models of Nondemocratic Politics (with Scott Gehlbach and Milan Svolik), Annual Review of Political Science, 19, 565-584, June 2016.
Political Economy in a Changing World (with Daron Acemoglu and Georgy Egorov), Journal of Political Economy, 123 (5), 1038-1086, October 2015.
The Killing Game: A Theory of Non-Democratic Succession (with Georgy Egorov), Research in Economics, 69 (3), 398-411, September 2015.
Field Experiment Estimate of Electoral Fraud in Russian Parliamentary Elections (with Ruben Enikolopov, Vassily Korovkin, Maria Petrova, and Alexei Zakharov), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110 (2), 448-452, January 2013.
Dynamics and Stability of Constitutions, Coalitions, and Clubs (with Daron Acemoglu and Georgy Egorov), American Economic Review, 102(4): 1446–76, 2012.
Efficient Actions in a Dynamic Auction Environment (with Michael Schwarz and Brendan Daley), Games and Economic Behavior, 75 (1), 104-119, 2012.
Political Model of Social Evolution (with Daron Acemoglu and Georgy Egorov), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 108, Supp. 4, 21292-21296, December 2011.
Dictators and Their Viziers: Endogenizing the Loyalty-Competence Trade-off (with Georgy Egorov), Journal of European Economic Association, 9 (5), 903–930, October 2011. [Slides of 2004 presentation at IAS historians’ seminar] [A better old version]
Determinants of Nationalization in the Oil Sector: A Theory and Evidence from Panel Data (with Sergei Guriev and Anton Kolotilin), Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, 27 (2), 301-323, August 2011.
Rational Dictators and the Killing of Innocents: Data from Stalin’s Archives (with Paul Gregory and Philipp Shroeder), Journal of Comparative Economics, 39(1), 34-42, March 2011.
Political Selection and the Persistence of Bad Government (with Daron Acemoglu and Georgy Egorov), Quarterly Journal of Economics, 125(4), 1511-1575, November 2010. [Non-technical Kellogg Insight]
Businessman Candidates (with Scott Gehlbach and Ekatherina Zhuravskaya), American Journal of Political Science, 54 (3), 718-736, July 2010.
Provincial Protectionism Journal of Comparative Economics, 38(2), 111-122, June 2010.
Why Resource-Poor Dictators Allow Freer Media: A Theory and Evidence from Panel Data (with Georgy Egorov and Sergei Guriev), American Political Science Review, 103 (4), 645-668, November 2009. [Non-technical Kellogg Insight]
Do Juntas Lead to Personal Rule? (with Daron Acemoglu and Georgy Egorov), American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 99(2), 298-303, May 2009.
Dictators and Oligarchs: A Dynamic Theory of Contested Property Rights (with Sergei Guriev), Journal of Public Economics, 93(1-2), 1-13, February 2009.
A Theory of Brinkmanship, Conflicts, and Commitment (with Michael Schwarz), Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, 24(1) 163-183, May 2008.
Coalition Formation in Non-Democracies (with Daron Acemoglu and Georgy Egorov), Review of Economic Studies, 75(4), 987-1009, December 2008.
Are Russian Commercial Courts Biased? Evidence from a Bankruptcy Law Transplant (with Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky and Ekaterina Zhuravskaya), Journal of Comparative Economics, 35-2, 253-442. June 2007.
Corruption and Collusive Market-Sharing in Procurement (with Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky), Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, 15(4), 883-908, Winter 2006.
Passive Creditors (with Koen Schoors), International Finance, 8 (1), 57-86, March 2005.
Information Revelation and Efficiency in Auctions (with Anna Mikoucheva), Economics Letters, 83, 277-284, 2004.
Why the Rich May Favor Poor Protection of Property Rights, Journal of Comparative Economics (special issue on Appropriate Institutions), 31 (4), 715-731, October 2003.
Krull Dimension of Malcev-Neumann Rings, Communications in Algebra, 26 (9), 2915-31, 1998.
Reviews, Policy Chapters, etc.
Review of “Economic Shocks and Authoritarian Stability: Duration, Financial Control, and Institutions”, Perspectives on Politics, 2021.
The End of Economic Transition, Economics of Transition, 21 (1), 1-10, 2013.
Development Based on Commodity Revenues (with Sergei Guriev and Alexander Plekhanov) EBRD Transition Report 2010.
State Capture and Corruption in Transition The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd ed., 2008.
Review of Gaddy and Ickes’s “Russia’s Virtual Economy”, Journal of Economic Literature, 43 (1), 189-191, March 2005.
Papers Left as Working Papers
Structural or Cyclical? Unemployment in Latvia Since the 2008-09 Financial Crisis (with Daria Anosova, Alf Vanags, and Anna Zasova), December 2010.
Is Political Risk Company-Specific? The Market Side of the YUKOS Affair (with Alexei Goriaev), September 2007.
For academic publications in Russian, see here.