Welcome to the lab for Modeling and Theory in Ecology and Epidemiology

We study the complexity underlying the ecology and evolution of infectious diseases.

Our work relies on a variety of extensive data sets, from long time series of disease incidence that span decades, to large ecological networks, to molecular (sequence) data on pathogens. The disease work involves international collaborations with public health and research partners around the world. On the theoretical front, we use mathematical models together with computational and statistical approaches to bridge the gap between data and models.

Our research

Our research addresses the Ecology and Evolution of infectious diseases. 

Host-pathogen systems are paradigmatic and fascinating examples of complex adaptive systems. They combine the challenges of nonlinear dynamics, large number of interactions between diverse components, and changing conditions because of evolution or environmental changes. Questions on how to model these systems and at what scales, how to make inferences from large but incomplete data sets, how to predict and alter the course of their dynamics, are central at this time of increased contact between natural and built-in environments, increased human movement, and rapid environmental changes. Our work relies on a variety of extensive data sets, from long time series of disease incidence that span decades, to large ecological networks, to molecular (sequence) data on pathogens. The disease work involves international collaborations with public health and research partners around the world. On the theoretical front, we use mathematical models together with computational and statistical approaches to bridge the gap between data and models.

See more at out RESEARCH and PUBLICATIONS sections.

A new paper revealing evidence for strain structure in Plasmodium falciparum var gene repertoires

A new paper just came out in PNAS with our collaborators in the University of Melbourne. This paper aims to discover how diverse malaria parasites are in children from an African village. Using DNA sequencing of var genes, we show that they are highly diverse such...

Shai’s Paper published in Nature Ecology and Evolution

Congratulations to Shai for his perspective paper on Multilayer Networks in Ecology published in Nature Ecology and Evolution today. Ecological systems are complex and multifaceted. For example, species interact in diverse ways with multiple partners, and ecological...

Mauricio’s paper published in Nature Ecology and Evolution

Congratulations to Mauricio (and Andres Baeza now at ASU) for their paper also in Nature Ecology and Evolution on land-use change, economics and malaria in frontier regions, which was published today.

Meeting at the UCDelhi Center

Mercedes and Mauricio went to Delhi for a great meeting at the UCDelhi Center on Cities, Climate Forcing and Infectious Diseases.  Thank you for all the support of the Center and to participants from India and other parts of the...

David Alonso nominated a Tinker Fellow

The Center for Latin American Studies has nominated David Alonso (CSIC, Catalunya) as a Tinker Fellow.  David will be spending the fall here at UC working on the transmission dynamics of mosquito-borne infections, and on stochastic theory for patterns of species’...
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